Thoughts and Predictions on the NCAA Tournament
March 20, 2008-First of all, I have to say I was mighty impressed with the tourney selection committee. Seemingly every year, the committee makes some baffling inclusion that one could only assume was the result of a sizable bribe (remember the Air Force decision a few years back?) or some inexplicable exclusion like Syracuse last year (They may be my alma mater’s arch enemy, but I don’t like to see them screwed arbitrarily). This year, the boys in the war room did an impeccable job with their selection of the 65 participants. Granted, their job was a little easier this year than usual; on Wednesday of conference tournament week, 8 teams tried their best to play their way OUT of the real tourney. Furthermore, I was impressed with the “aggressive seeding” employed by the committee. They did not indiscriminately follow the AP Poll to determine a team’s rank; a decision I applaud. For example, one top 5 team didn’t get a 1 or 2 seed, and one top 10 team in the poll was not considered a top 24 team by the selection committee. The two polls are often fallacious because many of the voters are only able to watch a handful of games a week, which usually means that the amount of television coverage and hype end up effecting rankings more than actual talent on the basketball court. Because the selectors use a more intricate and precise system to determine seeds, their rankings of college sides are far more accurate, which is why I’m avoiding picking Butler like the plague. Of course, I did not agree with every placement; par exemple, I felt Indiana, a top 25 side from a major conference with only 7 losses, should not have to play the top ranked seed in the tourney only a few miles from their opposition’s campus in the second round. As well, I think Xavier/Georgia were both mutually screwed. A protected seed should not have to play a major conference champion. Yes, Georgia had a horrendous season until about a week ago, but only a legitimately talented side can win the SEC tournament. Georgia should not have to play a protected seed in the first round and Xavier shouldn’t be rewarded for an almost-flawless season having to play a red-hot team from the conference that has produced the past two national championship teams.
-Anyone who picks Butler is a terrorist. Why? You’re picking against the USA. That’s a first round no-brainer.
-Memphis’ free throw shooting will be their downfall. I can’t say whether it’ll be in the second round or the Final Four, but an abysmal performance at the line will be the reason for their tournament demise.
-I feel badly for Cornell. The Ivy League representative can usually at least count on being the intellectually superior side in their first round match-up in the NCAA Tournament. Unfortunately for the university that is home to the nation’s preeminent ornithology lab, this year they will be the inferior side in terms of both ball skillz and smartz. Poor Cornell, they thought the “safety school” chants were done for the year. They’ve only just begun.
-I think the idea of a mid-major beating one of the top four Big East seeds is preposterous. UConn, Louisville, and Georgetown all have a good chance of facing a mid-major next round. Teams like St. Joe’s and Davidson can prepare all they want for the defenses of these seemingly impenetrable juggernauts, but they simply can’t prepare for the level of physicality of these sides. Habitually, in order for a mid-major to defeat a higher ranked opponent, they have to rely on hot shooting from the outside. The big boys of the Big East don’t just give up easy shots; they fight tooth and nail until the last tick of the shot clock to prevent an open look. Most mid-major sides have not played a team anywhere near as herculean as Georgetown, UConn, or Louisville, which means their bodies have not endured the physical punishment. A team can’t prepare for that in 48 hours. In particular, it seems like Davidson has become the trendy pick over second-ranked Georgetown. This, frankly, is absurd. Davidson has won a number of games in a row, but in their important games against elite teams earlier in the year, they were unable to prevail in close games, whereas Georgetown is 6-0 in identical scenarios. People claim that Stephen Curry will light the Hoyas up. You mean, just like Joe Alexander did last week? I’ll spare you the suspense. If Davidson plays Georgetown, Curry goes 5-17 for fourteen points in a losing effort. Georgetown is one of the best defensive teams in the country, the likes of which Davidson has yet to face this year. I think an outcome more likely than an upset is an extremely frustrated Davidson struggling to reach the 50 point mark.
-Best Quote so far: “Humphrey and Burrell (who are marking each other on defense) are pounding each other down there!” God Bless CBS
-Every year, my favorite part of the tournament is when my least favorite white player is eliminated from the tourney, and he cries like a little bitch and CBS just eats it up. In the past few years, we’ve had epic breakdowns from cracker greats like Adam Morrison and J.J. Reddick. This year, the sobfest I really can’t wait to see is when Chris Paulus and the Dukies go down way earlier than they expect and the tears start gushing through the ducts. In the words of Eric Cartman, there is nothing tastier than “the sweet tears of unfathomable sadness. Yummy.”
Posted by thesosbrog