21: Someone’s Vegas Is Showing
April 3, 2008I saw the recently-released “21″ last night, and as a borderline blackjack addict, I found the movie wildly entertaining. Obviously, this is not an Oscar winner (unless next year’s award Academy Awards includes a “Most Badass Makeout Shot,” because Kate Bosworth in the Hard Rock Suite with the Vegas skyline in the background would have to be a nominee), but definitely worth the 8 bucks to see it in the theater.
Though amusing (the movie should really have been called “Vegas Montages.” There were no less than four with upbeat music playing in the background and this college kid winning cash by the barrel full: once again, hard not to like), Jesus Christ was it misleading. The movie a) made card counting seem relatively easy, (It’s not; I can do it for a few hands, but after drink number three, it’s a lost cause. It requires immense concentration; one fleeting glance at one of the ubiquitous, scantily-clad ladies of the night that call the casino floors home, and it’s all over), and b) misconstrued the advantage of a favorable count. Based solely on watching “21″ one would assume that when the deck is heavy (in the +15 to the +17 range), playing black jack is like free money. People, this isn’t betting on UNC against the Play-In Game winner. The odds rarely reach more than a percentage or two in the players’ favor. Yes, in the long run, the player who only plays big money on hot decks will walk away with cash, but in “21,” they showed the protagonist sit down when the table was loaded, throw down 10g’s and win stacks of chips effortlessly. All a +15 means is that there are a disproportionate number of high cards remaining (15 more to be exact) than low cards, which puts the odds slightly in favor of the player because blackjacks are more common and they pay 3:2. But, guess what? The dealer has access to these +15 too! In reality, some weekends (according to basic statistics) these folks would actually lose money!
Do you think the movie neglected going into detail on this subject haphazardly? Lord, no! Why? I have a theory: Vegas. This movie is going to make more money for the Las Vegas casinos than it will for the studio that produced the film. And why is this? Americans are many things, but one of our most exasperating traits is our desire to make tons of money in the laziest fashion possible and the ensuing gullibility that results whenever a get-rich-quick scenario is presented (For example, how many people in Los Angeles alone are writing a screenplay? Exactly). This would explain why the movie addressed the concept of card counting only in a superficial manner and oversimplified the strategy, so that now, intellectually sub-par Americans will believe they might actually be able to count cards and will inevitably lose their shirts in the process. Hell, I consider myself a relatively intelligent human being, and I left that theater with one thought on my mind: how quickly can I get to Vegas and what is my 2-day ATM max withdrawal (for the record: 2 weeks, 1 grand). How could I not? I just watched a kid making silly amounts of money over and over again for two hours. Yeah, it got stolen a couple of times, but the kid was retarded for hiding it in his ceiling and trusting other humans. For a misanthrope who has been looking for any excuse to set up a clandestine bank account in Grand Cayman, this would not be an issue for me. The point is, the movie was like a two hour infomercial (granted a very entertaining one) paid for by the Las Vegas Board of Tourism. And, I find it hard to believe that this is all a coincidence.
Posted by thesosbrog